Johns Hopkins
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 96.4506Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 202 H Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.5) 17- 2 210 H Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 13-11 214 H Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 13- 7 220 A North Carolina ACC (12- 4, 98.7) 9-17 228 A Virginia ACC (10- 6, 98.6) 14-13 307 H Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 8-12 314 H Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 94.0) 14-10 321 H Michigan B1G ( 5- 9, 94.5) 14- 8 329 A Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 94.1) 8- 9 404 H Penn State B1G ( 9- 5, 99.2) 11-10 411 A Ohio State B1G (10- 4, 95.7) 6- 7 418 H Maryland B1G ( 7- 6, 97.6) 9- 8 430 N Michigan B1G ( 5- 9, 94.5) 14-12 o 502 N Penn State B1G ( 9- 5, 99.2) 8-16 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
202 H Robert Morris 17- 2 15 6 0.66
210 H Towson 13-11 2 2 -0.49
214 H Loyola 13- 7 6 4 + 2.49
220 A North Carolina 9-17 -8 -4 - -3.37
228 A Virginia 14-13 1 -4 ++ 4.53
307 H Syracuse 8-12 -4 -1 - -3.18
314 H Navy 14-10 4 4 0.16
321 H Michigan 14- 8 6 3 + 2.64
329 A Rutgers 8- 9 -1 1 -1.95
404 H Penn State 11-10 1 -1 + 2.41
411 A Ohio State 6- 7 -1 -1 -0.43
418 H Maryland 9- 8 1 0 0.73
430 N Michigan 14-12 o 2 2 0.01
502 N Penn State 8-16 o -8 -3 -- -4.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 N Penn State 8-16 o -8 -3 -- -4.22 220 A North Carolina 9-17 -8 -4 - -3.37 307 H Syracuse 8-12 -4 -1 - -3.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Virginia 14-13 1 -4 ++ 4.53 214 H Loyola 13- 7 6 4 + 2.49 321 H Michigan 14- 8 6 3 + 2.64 404 H Penn State 11-10 1 -1 + 2.41 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Robert Morris (14- 3, 91.5) 17- 2 -8.42 12.18 -1.38 1.02 22.10
3 H Towson (11- 4, 95.3) 13-11 -4.57 16.03 -1.38 1.02 29.97
3 H Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 13- 7 -5.58 15.02 -1.38 1.02 27.89
3 A North Carolina (12- 4, 98.7) 9-17 -1.19 19.40 1.38 1.02 -0.09
3 A Virginia (10- 6, 98.6) 14-13 -1.29 19.31 1.38 1.02 42.29
3 H Syracuse (11- 5, 98.6) 8-12 -1.26 19.34 -1.38 1.02 -1.35
3 H Navy ( 7- 7, 94.0) 14-10 -5.91 14.69 -1.38 1.02 27.21
3 H Michigan ( 5- 9, 94.5) 14- 8 -5.44 15.16 -1.38 1.02 28.19
3 A Rutgers ( 8- 7, 94.1) 8- 9 -5.77 14.82 1.38 1.02 -2.25
3 H Penn State ( 9- 5, 99.2) 11-10 -0.67 19.93 -1.38 1.02 37.94
3 A Ohio State (10- 4, 95.7) 6- 7 -4.25 16.35 1.38 1.02 -1.47
3 H Maryland ( 7- 6, 97.6) 9- 8 -2.34 18.25 -1.38 1.02 34.51
3 N Michigan ( 5- 9, 94.5) 14-12 -5.44 15.16 -0.00 1.02 31.00
3 N Penn State ( 9- 5, 99.2) 8-16 -0.67 19.93 -0.00 1.02 -0.34
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275.59
|
winning pts = 281.0903 losing points = -5.4955
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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